Armour Residential Reit Stock Performance

ARR Stock  USD 17.70  0.10  0.57%   
ARMOUR Residential has a performance score of 10 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.54, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, ARMOUR Residential's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding ARMOUR Residential is expected to be smaller as well. ARMOUR Residential REIT now shows a risk of 1.41%. Please confirm ARMOUR Residential REIT downside variance, and the relationship between the sortino ratio and accumulation distribution , to decide if ARMOUR Residential REIT will be following its price patterns.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Fair

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in ARMOUR Residential REIT are ranked lower than 10 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Even with relatively uncertain basic indicators, ARMOUR Residential may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in March 2026. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
0.63
Five Day Return
0.57
Year To Date Return
(2.71)
Ten Year Return
(80.63)
All Time Return
(95.16)
Forward Dividend Yield
0.1647
Payout Ratio
0.3077
Last Split Factor
1:5
Forward Dividend Rate
2.88
Dividend Date
2026-02-27
1
Disposition of 500 shares by Daniel Staton of ARMOUR Residential subject to Rule 16b-3
11/21/2025
 
ARMOUR Residential dividend paid on 28th of November 2025
11/28/2025
 
ARMOUR Residential dividend paid on 29th of December 2025
12/29/2025
2
Disposition of 6833 shares by Robert Hain of ARMOUR Residential at 18.0646 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/06/2026
3
Runpod AI Cloud Surpasses 120M in ARR
01/20/2026
4
CommVault Systems Q3 Earnings Call Highlights
01/27/2026
 
ARMOUR Residential dividend paid on 29th of January 2026
01/29/2026
6
Under Armour data breach claims trigger alerts for millions of users
01/30/2026
7
2 Reasons to Watch TOST and 1 to Stay Cautious
02/02/2026
8
Exasol Significantly Improves Results and Strengthens Business in Focus Industries - Strategic Transformation Delivers Results
02/03/2026
9
NebiusGroup N.V. ABullCase Theory
02/04/2026
10
Digi International Inc Q1 2026 Earnings Call Highlights Record Revenue and Strategic ...
02/05/2026
11
Omnicell Q4 Earnings Call Highlights
02/06/2026
12
Rapid7 Q4 Earnings Call Highlights
02/10/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow258.9 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-1.7 B

ARMOUR Residential Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,588  in ARMOUR Residential REIT on November 13, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  182.00  from holding ARMOUR Residential REIT or generate 11.46% return on investment over 90 days. ARMOUR Residential REIT is generating 0.1879% of daily returns assuming volatility of 1.4067% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 12% of stocks are less volatile than ARMOUR, and above 97% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon ARMOUR Residential is expected to generate 1.81 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 1.81 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.13 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.12 per unit of risk.

ARMOUR Residential Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of ARMOUR Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 17.70 90 days 17.70 
about 29.66
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ARMOUR Residential to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 29.66 (This ARMOUR Residential REIT probability density function shows the probability of ARMOUR Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon ARMOUR Residential has a beta of 0.54. This suggests as returns on the market go up, ARMOUR Residential average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding ARMOUR Residential REIT will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally ARMOUR Residential REIT has an alpha of 0.1003, implying that it can generate a 0.1 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   ARMOUR Residential Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for ARMOUR Residential

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ARMOUR Residential REIT. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
16.1317.5518.97
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
16.6618.0819.50
Details
7 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
16.9518.6220.67
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.710.780.82
Details

ARMOUR Residential Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ARMOUR Residential is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ARMOUR Residential's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ARMOUR Residential REIT, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ARMOUR Residential within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.10
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.54
σ
Overall volatility
0.88
Ir
Information ratio 0.04

ARMOUR Residential Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ARMOUR Residential for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ARMOUR Residential REIT can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
ARMOUR Residential has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the last year's revenue of 239.9 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (14.39 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 116.8 M.
ARMOUR Residential has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
About 60.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 29th of January 2026 ARMOUR Residential paid $ 0.24 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Rapid7 Q4 Earnings Call Highlights

ARMOUR Residential Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of ARMOUR Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential ARMOUR Residential's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ARMOUR Residential's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding52.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments68 M

ARMOUR Residential Fundamentals Growth

ARMOUR Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of ARMOUR Residential, and ARMOUR Residential fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on ARMOUR Stock performance.

About ARMOUR Residential Performance

Assessing ARMOUR Residential's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into ARMOUR Residential's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the ARMOUR Residential is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand-4 K-3.8 K
Return On Capital Employed 0.04  0.05 
Return On Equity(0.01)(0.01)

Things to note about ARMOUR Residential REIT performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about ARMOUR Residential for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for ARMOUR Residential REIT help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
ARMOUR Residential has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the last year's revenue of 239.9 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (14.39 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 116.8 M.
ARMOUR Residential has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
About 60.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 29th of January 2026 ARMOUR Residential paid $ 0.24 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Rapid7 Q4 Earnings Call Highlights
Evaluating ARMOUR Residential's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate ARMOUR Residential's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing ARMOUR Residential's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether ARMOUR Residential's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining ARMOUR Residential's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating ARMOUR Residential's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of ARMOUR Residential's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of ARMOUR Residential's stock. These opinions can provide insight into ARMOUR Residential's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating ARMOUR Residential's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact ARMOUR Residential's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for ARMOUR Stock Analysis

When running ARMOUR Residential's price analysis, check to measure ARMOUR Residential's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy ARMOUR Residential is operating at the current time. Most of ARMOUR Residential's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of ARMOUR Residential's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move ARMOUR Residential's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of ARMOUR Residential to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.